Indian Unit was seen on a choppy trade and closed at 47.00 taking clues from the volatle stock market.India's infrastructure sector output grew 4.3 percent in April from a year earlierU.S.Dollar has managed to recover some of its losses from yesterday as markets have been quiet ahead of the major event risk on the week. Non-farm payrolls and rate decisions from several major central banks have left forex traders cautious. volatility is expected from the upcoming pending home sales release, if it beats expectations of a 0.5% gain. Trades will need a greater improvement that the forecast in order to get reenergized about the housing market.Sector had started to show signs of stabilization, but signs of growth in could be the next catalyst to push risk appetite higher. Over the near-term downside risks remain for the dollar as improving fundamental data continues to have a greater impact than any negative news at this time, as markets are convinced that the worst is behind us and that the question is what type of recovery is ahead. The Euro has also been adversely impacted by easing risk appetite and has fallen as low as 1.4105 after reaching 1.4248 yesterday. Yet, there was no major reaction to the Euro-zone unemployment level rising to 9.2% from 8.9% which was the highest in almost a decade. Companies continue to be forced to lay off workers as they battle slumping demand and shrinking profit margins. Indeed, French producer prices fell 0.9% in April led by a 4.2% drop in mining, which will lead to further disinflation in the region and keep deflation concerns relevant. Swiss GDP contracting by 0.8% versus expectations for -1.5% in the first quarter and the country’s PMI reading improving to 39.8 from 36.5 shows that conditions are stabilizing in Europe and the Euro-zone the export driven economy’s main trading partner.The pound has remained heavy despite an improvement in lending and a jump in construction activity. Quiet equity markets have set the tone for forex price action as we have seen some profit taking after the recent rally. Nevertheless, fundamentals continue to improve for the country as mortgage approvals rose to 43,000-the highest in almost a year and the construction PMI reading jumped to 45.9 from 38.1. The improvement in lending was also seen in net consumer credit rising by 0.3%, but it remains near record low levels and considering the quantitative easing efforts from the BoE more could be expected. The central bank is forecasted to keep its benchmark rate and bond purchase efforts unchanged at their upcoming meeting, which most likely means that they will not release a statement. However, we could see some type of report card on their efforts to improve credit conditions which could spark volatility. If the MPC shows that they are satisfied with their results and expect that lending standards will continue to ease then we may see further pound strength..Japanese yen showed strength against its major counterparts and traded at 95.72 levels .Japanese Finance Minister said that the country's economy may have hit bottom during the January-March period, underscoring his cautious optimism about the economic outlook. Remarks came after data on Monday showing that supply outstripped demand by 8.5%, or about Y45 trillion in annualized terms, during the January-March quarter.The monetary base in Japan was up 7.9 percent on year.
Tuesday, June 2, 2009
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