Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Evening Report-Aug 12.

Rupee was off lows against the U.S. dollar and closed at 42.36 on profit sales by banks on behalf of exporters. Meanwhile, banks continued to buy dollars for foreign institutional investors noting the fall in local shares, which kept the Indian unit under pressure.upcoming U.S. trade Balance report is expected to show the deficit widening, which is most likely due to a decrease in exports. The rest of the world has caught the U.S.’s cold and their slowing growth will continue to weigh on demand. The release could highlight concerns that if the on area of growth for the U.S. economy begins to weaken and the slack isn’t taken up domestically, the economy may sink further, which could weigh on the dollar today.The Euro bounced off of support at 1.4815 climbing back above 1.4900. The pair has continued to trade lower as the outlook for the European economy grows dimmer. The French current account deficit widened to -4.4 billion from a revised -2.8 billion, as a strong Euro continues to weigh on demand for exports. Meanwhile, domestic growth continues to weaken as consumer’s struggle with high credit costs and rising inflation. President Trichet’s recognizing the softening of the economy has continued to weigh on the Euro despite hawkish comments from Klaus Liebscher.Pound failed to break below the 1.8970 price level twice during the overnight session, finding support each time. Surprisingly the second test came after U.K. inflation data printed hotter than expected at 4.2% against 4.0%. It was the highest level since 1997 and a 0.6% increase from June’s 3.8% reading. The main driver was an 12.3% increase in food prices, which signals that despite the recent decline in Oil, inflation pressures will continue to exist. dollar advanced against the yen testing 110.33 as corporate goods prices rose at their fastest pace boosted by soaring energy and commodity price,domestic corporate goods price index rose 7.1% .Inflation is likely to rise further in Japan, which could hurt the already flagging economy down the road.

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